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Lavis vs Chions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Paoli G.
26' Event
Valenta E.
28' Event
Omoregie T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lavis
15%
Draws
85%
Chions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chions have won more games recently than Lavis.
  • Win probability leans Chions's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lavis Clean Sheet 12%
Chions Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lavis Chions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 2 10
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.57 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Chions
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Lavis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lavis Compare

Top Goalscorer Paoli G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omoregie T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenta E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bovolon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lavis 10 / 100
Chions 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lavis Chions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chions conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Chions's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lavis found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Lavis VS Chions
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lavis

(Home)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
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Chions

(Away)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)