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Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lazio U19 play AC Milan U19 in the Primavera 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lazio U19 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. AC Milan U19 averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Lazio U19 won 1, AC Milan U19 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.58 for Lazio U19 and 1.54 for AC Milan U19. This points to a Lazio U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lazio U19
25%
Draws
34%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lazio U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Lazio U19 picked up more points recently compared to AC Milan U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.58 vs 1.54 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Lazio U19 Clean Sheet 15%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Primavera 1
Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Lazio U19
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Primavera 1
Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:0
May 8, 2021 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Lazio U19
2:1
Jan 23, 2021 Primavera 1
Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartesaghi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio U19 40 / 100
AC Milan U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio U19 AC Milan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lazio U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lazio U19 attacking → ← attacking AC Milan U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio U19 scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

AC Milan U19 let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Lazio U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AC Milan U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 42
1.29 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88