Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Bordon F.
16' Event
Bartesaghi D.
37' Event
Fernandes S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lazio U19
35%
Draws
26%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lazio U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio U19 lately — more wins on the board than AC Milan U19.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Lazio U19 taking it.
  • Lazio U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AC Milan U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lazio U19 Clean Sheet 15%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Primavera 1
Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Lazio U19
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Primavera 1
Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:0
May 8, 2021 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Lazio U19
2:1
Jan 23, 2021 Primavera 1
Lazio U19 vs AC Milan U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartesaghi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio U19 39 / 100
AC Milan U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio U19 AC Milan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio U19's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AC Milan U19 let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lazio U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio U19 VS AC Milan U19
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio U19

(Home)
28 May
AS Roma U19
3 : 2
Lazio U19
25 May
Lazio U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
18 May
Empoli U19
0 : 0
Lazio U19
11 May
Lazio U19
4 : 3
Inter U19
04 May
AS Roma U19
0 : 0
Lazio U19
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AC Milan U19

(Away)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Roma U19 -
TBD -
Lazio U19 1
AC Milan U19 1
Inter U19 -
TBD -
Atalanta U19 0
Sassuolo U19 1
Semi-finals
AS Roma U19 3
Lazio U19 2
Inter U19 1
Sassuolo U19 3
Final
AS Roma U19 0
Sassuolo U19 3