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Stadium Background

Lazio vs Genoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Ostigard L.
25' Event
Frattesi D.
Assist: Tavares N.
35'
De Rossi D.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lazio
15%
Draws
27%
Genoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Genoa haven't matched Lazio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lazio a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lazio have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Genoa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Genoa
1:0
Jan 30, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Genoa
3:2
Sep 29, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Lazio
0:3
Apr 23, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Lazio
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Genoa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Frattesi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Genoa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 95 / 100
Genoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Genoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lazio scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Lazio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Genoa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Genoa
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
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Genoa

(Away)
25 Oct
Genoa
1 : 0
Venezia
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
02 Oct
Rapid Bucuresti
2 : 0
Genoa
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
2 Inter 8 7 1 0 23:10 22
3 AS Roma 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 AC Milan 8 5 3 0 16:7 18
6 Frosinone 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
7 Juventus 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
8 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
9 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
10 Napoli 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
11 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Lecce 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
13 Bologna 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
15 Monza 8 2 1 5 15:18 7
16 Genoa 8 2 1 5 6:13 7
17 Udinese 8 1 1 6 9:18 4
18 Fiorentina 8 1 1 6 9:19 4
19 Parma 8 1 1 6 5:15 4
20 Venezia 8 1 0 7 6:17 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)