Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio vs Genoa

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lazio host Genoa in the Serie A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lazio have averaged 1.62 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Genoa's 1.21 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Lazio slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.06, favoring Lazio. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lazio
15%
Draws
31%
Genoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Genoa haven't matched Lazio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lazio a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lazio have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lazio Clean Sheet 20%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Genoa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Genoa
3:2
Sep 29, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Lazio
0:3
Apr 23, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Lazio
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Genoa
3:0
Apr 19, 2024 Serie A
Genoa vs Lazio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 85 / 100
Genoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Genoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lazio scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Genoa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Lazio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Genoa
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2
Mantova
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2
Lazio
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0
Ostiamare
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
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Genoa

(Away)
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
08 Aug
Genoa
0 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1
Genoa
01 Aug
Leicester
0 : 1
Genoa
25 Jul
Genoa
2 : 2
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lecce 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bologna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Frosinone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Genoa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Napoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Udinese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Monza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sassuolo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Venezia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 AS Roma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Inter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Juventus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AC Milan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Lazio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Cagliari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Torino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Parma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Como 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)