Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio vs Ostiamare

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ratkov P.
41' Event
Ratkov P.
73' Event
Zaccagni M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lazio and Ostiamare finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Lazio
15%
Draws
14%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostiamare come out ahead of Lazio on wins alone.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Lazio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Ostiamare
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Lazio vs Ostiamare
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratkov P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zaccagni M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ostiamare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 95 / 100
Ostiamare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lazio stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Lazio scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ostiamare let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Ostiamare
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2
Lazio
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0
Ostiamare
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3
Avellino
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
Page 1 of 6

Ostiamare

(Away)
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0
Ostiamare
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
13 May
Grosseto
2 : 3
Ostiamare
10 May
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6