Sport Picks
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
Ecuador
Copa Ecuador 2025 Estadio Reales Tamarindos 
Match Events
61'
61'
Preciado G.
71'
71'
Espinola C.
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
LDU Portoviejo in this Copa Ecuador 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Portoviejo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente Juniors lately — more wins on the board than LDU Portoviejo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Ecuador 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 22%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | LDU Portoviejo | Independiente Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Copa Ecuador
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
2:1
Sep 8, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1
Jul 18, 2021 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo
3:1
May 26, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
LDU Portoviejo Compare
Top Goalscorer Espinola C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Independiente Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Preciado G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
LDU Portoviejo 37 / 100
Independiente Juniors 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
LDU Portoviejo Independiente Juniors
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
LDU Portoviejo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Independiente Juniors has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: LDU Portoviejo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
LDU Portoviejo VS Independiente Juniors
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Club Deportivo Ibarra0
San Antonio1
Manta-
TBD-
Liga De Macas2
Olmedo3
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Ecuagenera2
Cumbaya1
Aucas-
TBD-
Banos3
Huaquillas FC2
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
Luz Valdivia1
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Delfin-
TBD-
CD San Camilo0
Guayaquil City1
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Leones del Norte4
Sembrando Buenos Campeones0
Orense-
TBD-
CD Miguel Iturralde2
Patria1
Emelec-
TBD-
Gualaceo2
Mineros0
Vinotinto-
TBD-
La Troncal FC1
Imbabura2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Independiente Juniors1
LDU Portoviejo2
Macara-
TBD-
Rio Aguarico2
Club Sportivo Loja1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Atletico Vinotinto2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
La Cantera4
Montufar Futbol Club1
Libertad-
TBD-
Club Deportivo Panamericana0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Deportivo Coca0
22 de Julio3
EL Nacional-
TBD-
1/16-finals
San Antonio1
Manta0
Olmedo1
LDU Quito2
Ecuagenera0
Aucas1
Banos0
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo3
Delfin2
Guayaquil City3
Mushuc Runa1
Leones del Norte1
Orense0
CD Miguel Iturralde1
Emelec2
Gualaceo2
Vinotinto1
Imbabura0
Independiente del Valle1
LDU Portoviejo1
Macara0
Rio Aguarico0
U. Catolica1
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Barcelona SC0
La Cantera1
Libertad0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.0
22 de Julio0
EL Nacional3
1/8-finals
San Antonio0
LDU Quito4
Aucas1
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Guayaquil City3
Leones del Norte0
Emelec1
Gualaceo0
Independiente del Valle6
LDU Portoviejo1
U. Catolica3
CD Cuenca Juniors6
La Cantera1
Nueve de Octubre2
EL Nacional1
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito2
Dep. Cuenca0
Guayaquil City0
Emelec1
Independiente del Valle1
U. Catolica2
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Nueve de Octubre1
Semi-finals
LDU Quito3
Emelec2
U. Catolica4
CD Cuenca Juniors1
Final
LDU Quito2
U. Catolica3