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LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event

AI Match Summary

Independiente Juniors in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
LDU Portoviejo
30%
Draws
51%
Independiente Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • LDU Portoviejo haven't matched Independiente Juniors's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independiente Juniors a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente Juniors have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 17%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Independiente Juniors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1
Apr 30, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Copa Ecuador
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
2:1
Sep 8, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1
Jul 18, 2021 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs LDU Portoviejo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 23 / 100
Independiente Juniors 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Independiente Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Portoviejo scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Independiente Juniors conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: LDU Portoviejo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Independiente Juniors
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
13 Aug
Vinotinto
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
08 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 0
Cumbaya
06 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Barcelona SC
30 Jul
Atletico FC
1 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
25 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
Page 1 of 6

Independiente Juniors

(Away)
06 Aug
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
22 de Julio
01 Aug
Gualaceo
2 : 3
Independiente Juniors
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 20 10 7 3 25:13 37
2 Nueve de Octubre 20 9 8 3 20:12 35
3 Atletico FC 20 8 10 2 22:14 34
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 20 8 7 5 19:20 31
5 Vinotinto 21 8 6 7 25:17 30
6 San Antonio 21 7 9 5 24:21 30
7 Cumbaya 21 5 11 5 22:19 26
8 Dep. Santo Domingo 21 6 9 6 17:16 24
9 LDU Portoviejo 21 6 6 9 15:22 24
10 Gualaceo 20 6 7 7 16:16 19
11 22 de Julio 20 4 3 13 10:28 9
12 EL Nacional 21 2 5 14 14:31 8
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)