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LDU Quito vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

1 - 0
FT
Aucas Logo

Aucas

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Pretell J. In: Cuero Mercado J. W.
Out: Pretell J.
46'
Sub
Alvarado A. In: Gonzalez Baquero S.
Out: Alvarado A.
46'
Sub
Corozo J. In: Velasco K.
Out: Corozo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
LDU Quito
35%
Draws
16%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aucas come out ahead of LDU Quito on wins alone.
  • LDU Quito are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Aucas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor LDU Quito, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%
Aucas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Aucas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs LDU Quito
1:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Ecuador
LDU Quito vs Aucas
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs LDU Quito
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Aucas
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs LDU Quito
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aucas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 68 / 100
Aucas 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Quito went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

LDU Quito's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aucas has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Aucas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1
LDU Quito
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Barcelona SC
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

Aucas

(Away)
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1
LDU Quito
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1
Aucas
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -