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LDU Quito vs Delfin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

2 - 1
FT
Delfin Logo

Delfin

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Ade R.
45'
Corozo J.
46'
Sub
Cuero Mercado J. W. In: Redes R.
Out: Cuero Mercado J. W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

LDU Quito in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
LDU Quito
35%
Draws
32%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito have won more games recently than Delfin.
  • Model gives LDU Quito a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%
Delfin Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Delfin
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Delfin
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
0:4
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Delfin
3:0
Sep 29, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozaeta T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 42 / 100
Delfin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

LDU Quito scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Delfin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

LDU Quito has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Delfin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
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Delfin

(Away)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
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