Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Quito vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Ade R.
45'
Corozo J.
46'
Sub
Cuero Mercado J. W. In: Redes R.
Out: Cuero Mercado J. W.

AI Match Summary

LDU Quito in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
LDU Quito
15%
Draws
32%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Very High Confidence
  • LDU Quito have won more games recently than Delfin.
  • Model gives LDU Quito a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%
Delfin Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Delfin
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Delfin
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
0:4
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Delfin
3:0
Sep 29, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozaeta T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 95 / 100
Delfin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

LDU Quito scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Delfin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

LDU Quito has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Delfin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
30 Jul
LDU Quito
6 : 0
Leones del Norte
27 Jul
Barcelona SC
0 : 1
LDU Quito
23 Jul
Manta
1 : 1
LDU Quito
18 Jul
LDU Quito
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
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Delfin

(Away)
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
21 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Delfin
18 Jul
Delfin
2 : 1
Macara
15 Jul
Manta
0 : 1
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 23 19 1 3 56:22 58
2 U. Catolica 23 11 6 6 38:19 39
3 Macara 23 11 5 7 30:23 38
4 Aucas 23 11 5 7 26:25 38
5 Barcelona SC 23 9 8 6 24:18 35
6 LDU Quito 23 10 5 8 23:18 35
7 Leones del Norte 23 8 8 7 24:22 32
8 Dep. Cuenca 23 9 4 10 21:28 31
9 Libertad 23 8 6 9 24:26 30
10 Mushuc Runa 23 7 7 9 29:34 28
11 Guayaquil City 23 7 7 9 20:25 28
12 Emelec 23 7 7 9 19:28 28
13 Orense 23 7 5 11 27:35 26
14 Tecnico U. 23 8 2 13 20:29 26
15 Delfin 23 6 5 12 14:23 23
16 Manta 23 3 5 15 9:29 14
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
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