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LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LDU Quito play Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, LDU Quito averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Leones del Norte averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, LDU Quito won 1, Leones del Norte won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for LDU Quito and 0.94 for Leones del Norte. This points to a LDU Quito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
LDU Quito
39%
Draws
31%
Leones del Norte
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • LDU Quito has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Leones del Norte.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito Leones del Norte
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs LDU Quito
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 31 / 100
Leones del Norte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito Leones del Norte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Quito scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Leones del Norte let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

LDU Quito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Leones del Norte lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Leones del Norte
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle17131336:1840
2Barcelona SC1785420:1329
3Aucas1785420:1629
4LDU Quito1783619:1427
5Dep. Cuenca1783618:1927
6U. Catolica1775528:1726
7Tecnico U.1772819:1723
8Macara1765616:1823
9Emelec1765614:1723
10Orense1764722:2422
11Mushuc Runa1756622:2321
12Leones del Norte1755718:1920
13Guayaquil City1754814:2019
14Delfin174589:1617
15Libertad1745817:2517
16Manta1733117:2312