Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

LDU Quito

2 - 0

Mirassol

Our Tip

Match Events

Quinonez Y.

20'

Segovia L.

34'

Quintero J.

Assist: Corozo J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

LDU Quito

35%

Draws

37%

Mirassol

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
LDU Quito are the model's pick here, at 42%.
LDU Quito have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor LDU Quito, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

LDU Quito Clean Sheet 20%

Mirassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	LDU Quito	Mirassol
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	15	11
Draws	9	8
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.39	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.81	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito vs Mirassol

1:0

Aug 13, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Mirassol vs LDU Quito

1:1

May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Mirassol vs LDU Quito

2:0

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito vs Mirassol

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Quintero J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63

Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito 42 / 100

Mirassol 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

LDU Quito Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: LDU Quito scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: LDU Quito remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito VS Mirassol

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito

(Home)

16 Sept

LDU Quito

3 : 3

Palmeiras

13 Sept

LDU Quito

1 : 1

Dep. Cuenca

09 Sept

Palmeiras

1 : 0

LDU Quito

05 Sept

Tecnico U.

1 : 3

LDU Quito

02 Sept

LDU Quito

0 : 0

Mushuc Runa

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Mirassol

(Away)

19 Sept

Mirassol

2 : 0

Botafogo RJ

13 Sept

Mirassol

2 : 2

Vitoria

06 Sept

Coritiba

1 : 2

Mirassol

02 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 0

Mirassol

30 Aug

Mirassol

1 : 1

Palmeiras

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