Sport Picks
LDU Quito vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Copa Ecuador Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: LDU Quito at 1.28 goals for, 0.78 against; U. Catolica at 1.59 for, 1.09 against. Past meetings favor LDU Quito slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.00, favoring LDU Quito. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- LDU Quito have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor LDU Quito, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | LDU Quito | U. Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
LDU Quito's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: U. Catolica conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: LDU Quito stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
