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LDU Quito W vs Olimpia Asuncion W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. LDU Quito W are expected to control this from the start. Olimpia Asuncion W have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while LDU Quito W have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.8. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward LDU Quito W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
LDU Quito W
25%
Draws
35%
Olimpia Asuncion W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: LDU Quito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito W's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Olimpia Asuncion W have produced (1.14).
  • Win probability leans LDU Quito W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
LDU Quito W Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia Asuncion W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Quito W Olimpia Asuncion W
Matches Played 10 14
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.8 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Quito W 58 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Quito W Olimpia Asuncion W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Asuncion W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

Olimpia Asuncion W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Quito W VS Olimpia Asuncion W
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Quito W

(Home)

Olimpia Asuncion W

(Away)
09 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion W
0 : 1
Sao Paulo W
06 Oct
San Lorenzo W
1 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion W
03 Oct
Colo Colo W
2 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion W
12 Oct
Corinthians W
2 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion W
09 Oct
Santos W
4 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Colo Colo W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Independiente del Valle W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Universitario de Deportes W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional W W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)