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Le Havre vs Monaco

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Océane
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Havre host Monaco in the Ligue 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Le Havre at 1.5 goals for, 1.5 against; Monaco at 1.88 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Le Havre have won 0 to Monaco's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.69) back Monaco to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Le Havre
39%
Draws
31%
Monaco
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Monaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 13%
Monaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre Monaco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Le Havre
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Le Havre
3:1
Feb 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Le Havre
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre 30 / 100
Monaco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre Monaco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monaco conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Le Havre stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Le Havre scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre VS Monaco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auxerre00000:00
2Le Havre00000:00
3Le Mans00000:00
4Lille00000:00
5Lorient00000:00
6Monaco00000:00
7Nice00000:00
8PSG00000:00
9Strasbourg00000:00
10Angers00000:00
11Brest00000:00
12Troyes00000:00
13Paris FC00000:00
14Marseille00000:00
15Toulouse00000:00
16Lens00000:00
17Rennes00000:00
18Lyon00000:00