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Le Havre W vs St Etienne W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Océane, Le Havre
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Le Havre W have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against St Etienne W's 1.03 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Le Havre W slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.13, favoring Le Havre W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Le Havre W
20%
Draws
40%
St Etienne W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • St Etienne W have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Le Havre W are scoring more at 1.33.
  • Model gives St Etienne W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Le Havre W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Havre W St Etienne W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Le Havre W
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs St Etienne W
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Le Havre W
1:2
Oct 11, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs St Etienne W
5:1
Feb 3, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs St Etienne W
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Havre W 14 / 100
St Etienne W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Havre W St Etienne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Le Havre W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

St Etienne W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Le Havre W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Havre W VS St Etienne W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Havre W

(Home)
20 Oct
Montpellier W
2 : 3
Le Havre W
17 Oct
Montpellier W
1 : 1
Le Havre W
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
Page 1 of 6

St Etienne W

(Away)
21 Oct
St Etienne W
0 : 2
Le Mans W
17 Oct
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Metz W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)