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Le Mans II vs Lucon

France France

CFA - Group D 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lucon in this CFA - Group D 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Le Mans II
20%
Draws
16%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Mans II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lucon average 1.35 goals a game right now, well clear of Le Mans II's 1.23.
  • Win probability leans Le Mans II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 10%
Lucon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans II Lucon
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Lucon
0:3
Dec 19, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Lucon vs Le Mans II
2:1
Mar 7, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Lucon
2:2
Aug 20, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Lucon vs Le Mans II
1:1
Mar 5, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Lucon vs Le Mans II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans II 56 / 100
Lucon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans II Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans II's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lucon has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Lucon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans II VS Lucon
0 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans II

(Home)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)