Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Le Mans vs Fougeres

France France

Coupe de France 2014/2015 Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Camerling B.
71'
Garrault S.
79' Event
Tertereau A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Le Mans in this Coupe de France 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Le Mans
30%
Draws
0%
Fougeres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Mans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fougeres haven't matched Le Mans's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Le Mans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Le Mans have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Le Mans, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 20%
Fougeres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans Fougeres
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 14 2
Draws 12 1
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.66 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.22 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Coupe de France
Fougeres vs Le Mans
3:2
Dec 7, 2014 Coupe de France
Le Mans vs Fougeres
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Camerling B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Fougeres Compare

Top Goalscorer Doulin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans 85 / 100
Fougeres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans Fougeres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Le Mans scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Fougeres has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Fougeres has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans

(Home)
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
Page 1 of 7

Fougeres

(Away)
10 Aug
Saint Lo Manche
2 : 1
Fougeres
03 Aug
AF Virois
3 : 0
Fougeres
27 Jul
Vitre
2 : 0
Fougeres
20 Jul
Fougeres
0 : 7
Le Havre
18 Nov
Caennaise
2 : 1
Fougeres
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Auxerre 3
Dinsheim 0
Le Moule 1
Sarreguemines 2
Sochaux 5
Limonest 2
St Etienne Seltz 0
Strasbourg 4
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Mulhouse 1
Colmar 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 4
Clemenceau 2
Vaulx 0
Jura Sud 2
Bressuire 2
Vertou 1
FC Petit-Bard Montpellier 0
Istres 1
Meaux 3
Marck 0
Bethune 1
Amiens SC 2
Plabennec 4
Ginglin Cesson 1
Bellevue Nantes 1
F.C. Guichen 2
Plouvorn 2
Bonchamp 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont 3
Albi-Marssac 0
Pontarlier 0
Epinal 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Matoury 2
CMS Oissel 1
Zouasia 1
Avranches 6
Cholet 2
Aiglon Lamentin 0
La Rochelle 2
Aurillac 4
Amiens AC 3
St Ouen 0
Dizier 1
Beauvais 2
Laval 7
Saint-Berthevin 0
Eglantine Vierzon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 2
Paris FC 1
Fontenay 0
Graces 0
Brest 5
Concarneau 2
Excelsior 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
Vitre 3
Genets 1
Balma 0
Chauvigny 1
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 2
Gravona 1
Vichy 0
Dijon 9
Andrezieux 1
CO Avallon 0
Agde 0
Avenir Lozere 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
FC Chalon 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 3
Saint Lo Manche 1
Herouville 0
Loon Plage 2
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Lillebonne 2
Cambrai 1
IC Croix 3
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Chauray 2
Girancourt Dommartin 1
Illkirch 2
Sedan 3
Champigny FC 2
Morhange 0
A.S. Pagny 3
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille Sud 1
Aubervilliers 0
Maubeuge 1
Valenciennes 3
Chateauroux 6
Meymac 0
Semeac 0
Tarbes 1
Trelissac 3
Magenta 0
Brive 0
Lucon 5
Dinan 2
Saint-Malo 1
Argentre 0
Angers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Libourne 1
Lormont 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arras 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Clermontois 1
Dunkerque 6
St. Maur Lusitanos 4
Creteil 3
Vierzon Foot 1
Moulins 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 2
Tefana 1
Saint-Mihiel 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Nimes 2
Auch 0
Echirolles FC 1
Marseille Endoume 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 4
Calais 1
Trouville Deauville 1
Le Havre 3
Fleury-Merogis 1
Riviere de Corps 0
Saverne 1
Sarre Union 4
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Rodeo 0
Saint-Marcellin 0
Grenoble 1
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 2
Gonfreville 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Laon US 4
Saint-Louisienne 3
Pontivy 2
Siroco les Abymes 0
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
US Noeux Les Mines 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Forbach 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Ain Sud Foot 3
Aix 0
Arles-Avignon 4
AC Ajaccio 1
Ales 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 3
Macouria 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 2
Saran 0
TBD -
Stade Bordelais -
Fougeres 2
Carquefou 1
Blois Foot 41 0
Le Mans 1
Nancy 3
Montceau 0
Chambly 1
Troyes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/64-finals
Auxerre 4
Sarreguemines 0
Sochaux 0
Strasbourg 1
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 1
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Istres 1
Meaux 1
Amiens SC 3
Plabennec 1
F.C. Guichen 0
Plouvorn 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Metz -
TBD -
Clermont 1
Epinal 2
Lorient -
TBD -
US Matoury 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 3
Aurillac 0
Amiens AC 0
Beauvais 1
Laval 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Paris FC 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 3
Vitre 2
Genets 0
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 1
Dijon 6
Andrezieux 2
Avenir Lozere 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 1
Loon Plage 0
Ailly sur Somme FC 0
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 4
Illkirch 1
Sedan 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Nice -
TBD -
Lille Sud 0
Valenciennes 1
Chateauroux 1
Tarbes 0
Trelissac 0
Lucon 1
Dinan 2
Angers 1
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Lormont 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
Arras 2
Dunkerque 4
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
Moulins 1
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Nimes 2
Marseille Endoume 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 2
Le Havre 0
Fleury-Merogis 0
Sarre Union 1
Marseille -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Grenoble 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 7
Laon US 0
Saint-Louisienne 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 3
Forbach 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Arles-Avignon 3
AC Ajaccio 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Tours 3
Stade Bordelais 2
Fougeres 1
Le Mans 2
Nancy 3
Troyes 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Strasbourg 0
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Amiens SC 1
Plabennec 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz 2
Epinal 1
Lorient 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 1
Beauvais 0
Laval 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
Niort 0
Caen 2
Dijon 3
Andrezieux 2
Saint Priest 0
Saint-Omer 0
IC Croix 5
Moulins-Yzeure 3
A.S. Pagny 1
Nice 0
Valenciennes 2
Chateauroux 1
Lucon 0
Dinan 0
Guingamp 3
PSG 3
Montpellier 0
Toulouse 1
Bordeaux 2
Lyon 3
Lens 2
Franciscain 0
Nantes 4
Rennes 2
Dunkerque 1
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
Reims 3
Thonon-Evian 3
FC Bobigny 93 0
Nimes 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 5
Sarre Union 4
Marseille 3
Grenoble 4
Bastia 2
Lille 0
Orleans 3
Quevilly 4
Red Star 2
Arles-Avignon 1
AC Ajaccio 0
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 3
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
St Etienne 1
1/16-finals
Auxerre 1
Jura Sud 0
Bressuire 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 3
Avranches 0
Cholet 1
Brest 3
Concarneau 1
Dijon 0
Andrezieux 1
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Valenciennes 0
Chateauroux 0
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Bordeaux 1
Lyon 2
Nantes 3
Rennes 2
Reims 1
Thonon-Evian 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 1
Grenoble 0
Bastia 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
Athletico Marseille 0
Tours 3
St Etienne 5
1/8-finals
Auxerre 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
IC Croix 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Guingamp 3
PSG 2
Nantes 0
Rennes 1
Monaco 3
Boulogne 2
Quevilly 0
Red Star 1
St Etienne 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 1
Brest 0
Concarneau 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Monaco 0
Boulogne 1
St Etienne 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 1
Guingamp 0
PSG 4
St Etienne 1
Final
Auxerre 0
PSG 1