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Le Mans W vs Albi-Marssac W

France France

Division 2 Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W play Albi-Marssac W in the Division 2 Women 2023/2024. Le Mans W are favorites here. Recently, Le Mans W averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Albi-Marssac W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Le Mans W won 0, Albi-Marssac W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 19, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Le Mans W and 1.00 for Albi-Marssac W. This points to a Le Mans W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Le Mans W
25%
Draws
15%
Albi-Marssac W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Le Mans W picked up more points recently compared to Albi-Marssac W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 23%
Albi-Marssac W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Albi-Marssac W
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Albi-Marssac W vs Le Mans W
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Albi-Marssac W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 59 / 100
Albi-Marssac W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Albi-Marssac W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Le Mans W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Le Mans W attacking → ← attacking Albi-Marssac W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Albi-Marssac W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Le Mans W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Albi-Marssac W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 33
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Strasbourg W22156140:1151
2Nantes W22135437:2144
3Marseille W22135450:2944
4Nice W22104830:2834
5Lens W2287733:2531
6Rodez AF W2276930:3227
7Orleans W2276932:3927
8Thonon Evian W2268829:3326
9Metz W22410822:3622
10Le Mans W22571018:2722
11Albi-Marssac W22561129:5221
12Montauban W22321730:4711