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Le Mans W vs Auxerre W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Boutaleb I.
48' Event
Chapelle K.
71' Event
Guermazi S.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Le Mans W and Auxerre W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Le Mans W
15%
Draws
40%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Mans W come out ahead of Auxerre W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Le Mans W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 68%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Auxerre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Auxerre W
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Le Mans W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapelle K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guermazi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Auxerre W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutaleb I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mabomba G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 59 / 100
Auxerre W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Auxerre W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Le Mans W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS Auxerre W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre W

(Away)
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
28 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 2
Strasbourg W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)