Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Le Mans W vs Boulogne W

France France

Division 2 Women 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Le Mans W play Boulogne W in the Division 2 Women 2016/2017. Le Mans W are favorites here. Recently, Le Mans W averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Boulogne W averaged 0.36 goals scored and 4.09 conceded. In past meetings, Le Mans W won 2, Boulogne W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2017 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Le Mans W and 1.63 for Boulogne W. This points to a Le Mans W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Le Mans W
15%
Draws
11%
Boulogne W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Le Mans W picked up more points recently compared to Boulogne W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 14%
Boulogne W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Boulogne W
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 17 0
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.72 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.31 4.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Boulogne W
4:0
Nov 6, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Boulogne W vs Le Mans W
1:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 69 / 100
Boulogne W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Boulogne W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Le Mans W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Le Mans W attacking → ← attacking Boulogne W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Boulogne W let in goals in 100% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Le Mans W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Boulogne W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 3
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lille W22165169:953
2La Roche W22161575:3049
3Arras W22135436:1444
4Saint-Malo W22116540:2439
5Reims W2296724:2433
6Saint-Maur W2295850:4132
7Brest W2286821:2830
8Rouen W22921131:3729
9Le Mans W22751028:3926
10Lorient W22461226:3518
11Caen W22341513:5013
12Boulogne W2203198:903
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Val d'Orge W22163366:1951
2Dijon W22155251:2350
3Grenoble W22154352:2349
4Toulouse W22135446:1944
5Vendenheim W22104833:2934
6Nimes W2276929:4027
7Yzeure Allier W2267929:3125
8Metz ESAP W2267933:2925
9Aurillac W22551220:3620
10Clermont W22551222:4520
11Toulon W22181317:5911
12Le Puy W2215169:548