Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Le Mans W vs Lens W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lens W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Le Mans W
20%
Draws
33%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lens W haven't matched Le Mans W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Le Mans W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Le Mans W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lens W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lens W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 20%
Lens W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Lens W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lens W
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lens W
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Le Mans W
4:1
Apr 28, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Le Mans W
3:0
Dec 17, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lens W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 67 / 100
Lens W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Lens W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Lens W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Le Mans W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS Lens W
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 6

Lens W

(Away)
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
22 Aug
Nice W
1 : 2
Lens W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)