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Le Mans W vs Lille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Zang Bikoula V.
55' Event
59' Event
Faity C.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Le Mans W and Lille W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Le Mans W
35%
Draws
24%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Mans W come out ahead of Lille W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Le Mans W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 68%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Lille W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lille W
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Le Mans W
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Lille W vs Le Mans W
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Le Mans W
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Lille W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Faity C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zang Bikoula V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 86 / 100
Lille W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Lille W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Le Mans W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS Lille W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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Lille W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)