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Le Mans W vs Saint-Malo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. Le Mans W go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Le Mans W at 1.48 goals for, 1.07 against; Saint-Malo W at 1.14 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Le Mans W have won 2 to Saint-Malo W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Le Mans W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Le Mans W
20%
Draws
17%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Le Mans W have won more games recently than Saint-Malo W.
  • Le Mans W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Le Mans W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saint-Malo W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Mans W
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Saint-Malo W
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Mans W
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Saint-Malo W
4:1
Jan 22, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Le Mans W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 85 / 100
Saint-Malo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Le Mans W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Saint-Malo W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS Saint-Malo W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
21 Oct
St Etienne W
0 : 2
Le Mans W
18 Oct
Le Mans W
0 : 0
Cannes W
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
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Saint-Malo W

(Away)
21 Oct
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
17 Oct
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Nantes W
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)