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Le Puy-en-Velay vs Ales

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Nadifi R.
7' Event
Pays N.
18' Event
Fournel M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Le Puy-en-Velay and Ales finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Puy-en-Velay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Le Puy-en-Velay
6%
Draws
90%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Puy-en-Velay come out ahead of Ales on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ales a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 20%
Ales Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Ales
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Ales
2:0
Sep 23, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Pays N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fournel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ales Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 10 / 100
Ales 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Ales conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Le Puy-en-Velay remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
15 May
Sochaux
2 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
09 May
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 2
Dijon
01 May
Fleury-Merogis
4 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
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Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aubagne FC261410233:1752
2Le Puy-en-Velay261210439:2446
3RC Grasse261012431:2142
4Jura Sud261011534:2341
5Cannes26913441:2140
6Hyeres26910737:2237
7Frejus Saint Raphael26812625:1936
8Toulon2698930:2935
9Andrezieux26971026:2834
10Ales26781123:3929
11Thonon-Evian26771227:3528
12Chamalieres265111026:4026
13Bourgoin Jallieu26491324:4321
14Toulouse II26181724:5911
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)