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Stadium Background

Le Puy-en-Velay vs Orleans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Khous G.
25'
Dief S.
37' Event
Gauthier A.
Assist: Xhemo R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Le Puy-en-Velay
35%
Draws
19%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay average 1.24 goals a game right now, well clear of Orleans's 1.17.
  • Model gives Le Puy-en-Velay a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 68%
Orleans Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Orleans
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Orleans
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Orleans
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:1
Apr 21, 2023 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Orleans
0:1
Dec 2, 2022 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauthier A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Khous G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 95 / 100
Orleans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Puy-en-Velay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Orleans conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Le Puy-en-Velay has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS Orleans
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
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Orleans

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)