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Lealtad vs Caudal Deportivo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lealtad host Caudal Deportivo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Lealtad at 1.07 goals for, 1.27 against; Caudal Deportivo at 1.74 for, 1.05 against. Head-to-head, Lealtad have won 2 to Caudal Deportivo's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 25, 2025, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.06 - 1.00) back Caudal Deportivo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lealtad
20%
Draws
40%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Caudal Deportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lealtad are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 20%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 10 24
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Lealtad
1:3
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Caudal Deportivo
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Caudal Deportivo
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Lealtad
2:1
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Caudal Deportivo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 40 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Caudal Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lealtad found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Caudal Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lealtad stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS Caudal Deportivo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
10 Oct
Langreo
0 : 1
Lealtad
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1
Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
Page 1 of 6

Caudal Deportivo

(Away)
04 Oct
Praviano
1 : 1
Caudal Deportivo
26 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 0
L Entregu CF
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
09 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)