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Lealtad vs Coruxo FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Yerpes Santillana S.
65' Event
Cidre X.
67' Event
Alvarez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lealtad
15%
Draws
59%
Coruxo FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coruxo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lealtad haven't matched Coruxo FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Coruxo FC a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 17%
Coruxo FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Coruxo FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Coruxo FC
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Lealtad
1:0
May 9, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Lealtad
2:1
Apr 11, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Coruxo FC
0:0
May 14, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Lealtad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lealtad Compare

Top Goalscorer Yerpes Santillana S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Coruxo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cidre X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sola X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 28 / 100
Coruxo FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Coruxo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coruxo FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lealtad scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Coruxo FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lealtad stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS Coruxo FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
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Coruxo FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
19 Aug
Coruxo FC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
15 Aug
Lugo
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)