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Lealtad vs Cudillero

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 game between Lealtad and Cudillero finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cudillero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lealtad
15%
Draws
0%
Cudillero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lealtad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lealtad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lealtad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 20%
Cudillero Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lealtad Cudillero
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 18 30
Goals Scored 0.93 0
Goals Conceded 1.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Cudillero
1:2
Aug 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Lealtad
0:4
Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Lealtad
0:1
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Cudillero
0:3
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Cudillero
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lealtad 85 / 100
Cudillero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lealtad Cudillero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cudillero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Cudillero lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lealtad scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lealtad VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lealtad

(Home)
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

Cudillero

(Away)
17 May
Cudillero
0 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
10 May
Astur
2 : 0
Cudillero
03 May
Praviano
2 : 0
Cudillero
26 Apr
Cudillero
0 : 2
Atletico de Lugones
19 Apr
Llanes
2 : 0
Cudillero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lealtad 38 23 7 8 62:27 76
2 Langreo 38 23 7 8 62:28 76
3 Union Club Ceares 38 21 11 6 54:31 74
4 Praviano 38 21 9 8 57:36 72
5 Covadonga 38 20 11 7 70:35 71
6 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 67:38 64
7 Universidad Oviedo 38 19 7 12 52:30 64
8 Cudillero 38 19 6 13 59:51 63
9 L Entregu CF 38 17 8 13 48:39 59
10 Condal 38 14 13 11 47:34 55
11 Real Aviles B 38 13 10 15 51:55 49
12 Real Oviedo B 38 14 6 18 46:53 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 10 16 12 55:54 46
14 Atletico de Lugones 38 12 10 16 49:55 46
15 Lenense 38 10 8 20 29:54 38
16 Gijon Industrial 38 9 9 20 21:50 36
17 Andes CF 38 10 4 24 32:77 34
18 Candas CF 38 8 10 20 35:53 34
19 Luarca 38 6 10 22 23:66 28
20 Real Tapia 38 5 5 28 23:76 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)