Sport Picks
Lealtad vs Real Oviedo B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
57'
57'
Lopes M.
85'
85'
Gil I.
88'
88'
Blanco Suarez M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Lealtad and Real Oviedo B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Oviedo B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Real Oviedo B come out ahead of Lealtad on wins alone.
- Model gives Lealtad a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Real Oviedo B have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 68%
Real Oviedo B Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lealtad | Real Oviedo B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Real Oviedo B
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Oviedo B vs Lealtad
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Real Oviedo B
0:4
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Oviedo B vs Lealtad
4:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lealtad vs Real Oviedo B
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lealtad Compare
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34
Real Oviedo B Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopes M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gil I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lealtad 59 / 100
Real Oviedo B 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lealtad Real Oviedo B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lealtad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Lealtad found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Real Oviedo B has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Lealtad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lealtad VS Real Oviedo B
0.71 Goals Scored 2.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lealtad
(Home) 04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0 Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1 Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0 Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2 Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1 Lealtad
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0 Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1 Llanes
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2 Praviano
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2 Coruxo FC
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 3
Real Oviedo B
(Away) 04 Oct
Compostela
1 : 2 Real Oviedo B
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1 Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Real Oviedo B
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1 Eibar B
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Compostela
1 : 2 Real Oviedo B
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1 Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Real Oviedo B
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4 Real Oviedo B
28 Aug
Universidad Oviedo
0 : 6 Real Oviedo B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
