Sport Picks
Lealtad vs Valladolid Promesas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Carvajal A.
40'
40'
Carvajal A.
75'
75'
Rodriguez L.
AI Match Summary
Valladolid Promesas in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valladolid Promesas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valladolid Promesas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Valladolid Promesas have won more games recently than Lealtad.
- Win probability leans Valladolid Promesas's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 20%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lealtad | Valladolid Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Valladolid Promesas
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Lealtad
4:1
Mar 6, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Valladolid Promesas
1:1
Dec 6, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Lealtad
0:1
Apr 2, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Lealtad
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lealtad Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Estrada I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Valladolid Promesas Compare
Top Goalscorer Carvajal A.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lealtad 24 / 100
Valladolid Promesas 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lealtad Valladolid Promesas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valladolid Promesas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lealtad scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Valladolid Promesas conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Lealtad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lealtad VS Valladolid Promesas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lealtad
(Home) 04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0 Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1 Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0 Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2 Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1 Lealtad
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0 Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1 Llanes
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2 Praviano
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2 Coruxo FC
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 3
Valladolid Promesas
(Away) 04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1 Valladolid Promesas
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1 Albacete B
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0 Valladolid Promesas
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1 Valladolid Promesas
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0 Valladolid Promesas
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
26 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1 Valladolid Promesas
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
