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Leamington vs Kidderminster

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cooper C.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Streete T.
55' Event
Evans O.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Leamington and Kidderminster finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kidderminster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Leamington
20%
Draws
57%
Kidderminster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kidderminster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kidderminster carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kidderminster are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leamington Kidderminster
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League North
Leamington vs Kidderminster
2:3
Aug 25, 2025 National League North
Kidderminster vs Leamington
3:2
Mar 11, 2025 National League North
Leamington vs Kidderminster
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 National League North
Kidderminster vs Leamington
1:0
Jan 7, 2023 National League North
Leamington vs Kidderminster
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leamington Compare

Top Goalscorer Streete T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brogan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnelly K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leamington 10 / 100
Kidderminster 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leamington Kidderminster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kidderminster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leamington's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Kidderminster conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Leamington has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leamington VS Kidderminster
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leamington

(Home)
15 Aug
Leamington
0 : 1
Kettering
11 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1
Anstey Nomads
08 Aug
Real Bedford
4 : 2
Leamington
01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1
Yate
17 Jul
Leamington
2 : 3
Coventry U21
Page 1 of 6

Kidderminster

(Away)
15 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Eastleigh
08 Aug
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Kidderminster
01 Aug
Stourbridge
0 : 5
Kidderminster
28 Jul
Kidderminster
0 : 0
Alvechurch
25 Jul
Stratford
0 : 5
Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Fylde 46 32 4 10 112:51 100
2 South Shields 46 28 11 7 99:43 95
3 Kidderminster 46 25 12 9 74:51 87
4 Macclesfield 46 24 7 15 81:68 79
5 Buxton 46 22 7 17 83:61 73
6 Scarborough Athletic 46 19 16 11 61:52 73
7 Chester 46 20 13 13 66:64 73
8 Merthyr Town 46 22 4 20 95:86 70
9 Darlington FC 46 20 9 17 78:68 69
10 Spennymoor 46 19 11 16 62:69 68
11 Telford 46 17 14 15 85:65 65
12 Marine 46 18 8 20 62:72 62
13 Radcliffe 46 18 6 22 76:83 60
14 Southport 46 16 12 18 64:71 60
15 Chorley 46 15 12 19 66:65 57
16 Worksop 46 16 9 21 66:74 57
17 Oxford City 46 15 11 20 62:67 56
18 Bedford 46 13 14 19 66:77 53
19 King’s Lynn 46 12 16 18 56:64 52
20 Hereford 46 14 10 22 64:79 52
21 Curzon Ashton 46 13 13 20 67:88 52
22 Alfreton 46 12 14 20 49:82 50
23 Peterborough Sports 46 10 9 27 51:96 39
24 Leamington 46 7 8 31 41:90 29
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)