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Leamington vs Needham Market - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leamington host Needham Market in the Southern League Premier Central. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Leamington at 1.63 goals for, 1.96 against; Needham Market at 1.73 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Leamington have won 0 to Needham Market's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Needham Market. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leamington
30%
Draws
41%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Needham Market

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leamington haven't matched Needham Market's recent run of results.
  • Leamington are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Needham Market have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leamington Needham Market
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2025 National League North
Needham Market vs Leamington
1:1
Nov 26, 2024 National League North
Leamington vs Needham Market
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leamington vs Needham Market
0:1
Dec 5, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Leamington
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leamington 34 / 100
Needham Market 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leamington Needham Market

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leamington scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Needham Market let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leamington stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leamington VS Needham Market
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leamington

(Home)
03 Oct
Leamington
4 : 0
Hitchin
29 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 1
Leamington
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2
Leamington
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0
Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1
Gainsborough
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Needham Market

(Away)
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3
Needham Market
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0
Stamford
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3
Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)