Sport Picks
Leamington vs Worcester Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
11'
11'
Finn K.
70'
70'
Smalley B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Worcester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Worcester have won more games recently than Leamington.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Leamington Clean Sheet 20%
Worcester Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leamington | Worcester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leamington vs Worcester
1:1
Nov 15, 2014 National League North
Worcester vs Leamington
2:1
Nov 1, 2014 National League North
Leamington vs Worcester
2:2
Oct 14, 2014 FA Cup
Worcester vs Leamington
2:0
Oct 11, 2014 FA Cup
Leamington vs Worcester
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leamington Compare
Top Goalscorer Finn K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Worcester Compare
Top Goalscorer Smalley B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leamington 32 / 100
Worcester 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leamington Worcester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Worcester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leamington scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Worcester conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Leamington went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leamington VS Worcester
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Leamington
(Home) 29 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 1 Leamington
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2 Leamington
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1 Worcester
15 Aug
Leamington
0 : 1 Kettering
11 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1 Anstey Nomads
Page 1 of 3
Worcester
(Away) 29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2 Worcester
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0 Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1 Stratford
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2 Worcester
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
05 Sept
Knowle
1 : 1 Worcester
29 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1 Worcester
15 Aug
Leighton Town
2 : 1 Worcester
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Peterborough Sports | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Stourbridge | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Worcester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Leamington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 19 | Banbury | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:25 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
