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Leatherhead vs Welling

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Igozouln A.
20' Event
Igozouln A.
41' Event
Dickson J.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Leatherhead and Welling finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leatherhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Leatherhead
20%
Draws
42%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leatherhead come out ahead of Welling on wins alone.
  • Leatherhead are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 12%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leatherhead Welling
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Welling
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leatherhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Igozouln A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dickson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Welling Compare

Top Goalscorer Ufuah J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leatherhead 83 / 100
Welling 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leatherhead Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leatherhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leatherhead's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Welling let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Leatherhead remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leatherhead VS Welling
1.86 Goals Scored 1.88
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leatherhead

(Home)
22 Aug
Leatherhead
1 : 4
Maldon & Tiptree
15 Aug
Burgess Hill
2 : 2
Leatherhead
11 Aug
Leatherhead
4 : 1
Welling
08 Aug
Ramsgate
1 : 2
Leatherhead
25 Jul
Leatherhead
1 : 1
Ashford Town
Page 1 of 6

Welling

(Away)
22 Aug
Dartford
0 : 3
Welling
15 Aug
Welling
4 : 0
Stanway Rovers
11 Aug
Leatherhead
4 : 1
Welling
08 Aug
Welling
2 : 0
Whitehawk
01 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Welling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carshalton 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Enfield Town 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Welling 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
4 Chatham 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
5 Dartford 4 3 0 1 6:6 9
6 Aveley 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Eastbourne Borough 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
8 Leatherhead 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
9 Lewes 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
10 Dulwich Hamlet 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
11 Ramsgate 4 2 0 2 10:6 6
12 Maldon & Tiptree 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
13 St. Albans 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
14 Burgess Hill 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
15 Cray Wanderers 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
16 Wingate & Finchley 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
17 Brentwood 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
18 Cheshunt 4 0 3 1 1:3 3
19 Whitehawk 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
20 Whyteleafe 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
21 Stanway Rovers 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
22 Three Bridges 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)