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Leatherhead vs Welling - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Igozouln A.
20' Event
Igozouln A.
41' Event
Dickson J.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Leatherhead and Welling finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leatherhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Leatherhead
20%
Draws
36%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leatherhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leatherhead come out ahead of Welling on wins alone.
  • Leatherhead are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 16%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leatherhead Welling
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Welling
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leatherhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Igozouln A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dickson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Welling Compare

Top Goalscorer Ufuah J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leatherhead 48 / 100
Welling 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leatherhead Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leatherhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leatherhead's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Leatherhead went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Welling conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leatherhead VS Welling
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leatherhead

(Home)
03 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 0
Hanworth Villa
26 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Ramsgate
22 Sept
Three Bridges
3 : 3
Leatherhead
19 Sept
Kingstonian
0 : 1
Leatherhead
15 Sept
Leatherhead
0 : 0
Whyteleafe
Page 1 of 6

Welling

(Away)
06 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
Welling
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0
Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
4 : 1
Welling
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Welling 10 8 0 2 20:9 24
2 Enfield Town 9 7 0 2 25:12 21
3 Dartford 10 7 0 3 16:11 21
4 Carshalton 11 7 0 4 18:19 21
5 Lewes 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
6 Ramsgate 10 5 1 4 23:14 16
7 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
8 Eastbourne Borough 9 5 1 3 18:11 16
9 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
10 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
11 Burgess Hill 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
12 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
13 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
14 Cheshunt 10 2 5 3 9:13 11
15 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
16 Aveley 10 3 1 6 17:18 10
17 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
18 Maldon & Tiptree 11 3 0 8 14:31 9
19 Whyteleafe 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
20 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
21 Whitehawk 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
22 Stanway Rovers 9 1 1 7 7:23 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)