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Lebanon U20 vs Libya U20

World World

Arab Cup U20
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Adil M.
84' Event
Bouchiba A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lebanon U20
15%
Draws
0%
Libya U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Libya U20 come out ahead of Lebanon U20 on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lebanon U20 taking it.
  • Libya U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libya U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Libya U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U20 Libya U20
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2022 Arab Cup U20
Lebanon U20 vs Libya U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Libya U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adil M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouchiba A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U20 95 / 100
Libya U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U20 Libya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Libya U20 conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lebanon U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U20 VS Libya U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.4
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U20

(Home)
03 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U20
2 : 3
Lebanon U20
31 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 3
South Korea U20
24 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 2
Tajikistan U20
21 Aug
Lebanon U20
0 : 1
Tajikistan U20
05 Jul
Lebanon U20
2 : 1
Syria U20
Page 1 of 6

Libya U20

(Away)
26 Nov
Algeria U20
4 : 0
Libya U20
23 Nov
Morocco U20
4 : 0
Libya U20
20 Nov
Libya U20
1 : 2
Egypt U20
14 Nov
Libya U20
1 : 2
Tunisia U20
13 Nov
Libya U20
0 : 6
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Mauritania U20 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Iraq U20 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U20 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Yemen U20 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 United Arab Emirates U20 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria U20 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Libya U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Lebanon U20 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U20 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Oman U20 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Somalia U20 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U20 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Bahrain U20 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Djibouti U20 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Palestine U20 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Sudan U20 2 0 0 2 5:9 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams