Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 game between Lebrijana and AD Ceuta finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- AD Ceuta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans AD Ceuta's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lebrijana Clean Sheet 20%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lebrijana | AD Ceuta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs AD Ceuta
1:3
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Lebrijana
1:1
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta vs Lebrijana
2:0
Sep 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs AD Ceuta
3:3
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs AD Ceuta
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lebrijana 24 / 100
AD Ceuta 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lebrijana AD Ceuta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Ceuta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AD Ceuta conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
AD Ceuta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Lebrijana found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS AD Ceuta
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lebrijana
(Home) 02 Sept
Cabecense
3 : 0 Lebrijana
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2 Arcos CF
06 Jun
Castilleja CF
1 : 0 Lebrijana
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4 Coria C.F.
23 May
La Palma CF
1 : 0 Lebrijana
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2 Arcos CF
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4 Coria C.F.
16 May
Lebrijana
1 : 2 Sevilla C
02 May
Lebrijana
0 : 0 Castilleja CF
18 Apr
Lebrijana
0 : 2 La Palma CF
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AD Ceuta
(Away) 22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1 AD Ceuta
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1 Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1 AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1 AD Ceuta
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1 AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0 AD Ceuta
24 May
FC Andorra
0 : 2 AD Ceuta
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26:11 | 37 |
| 2 | Xerez CD | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 23:11 | 35 |
| 3 | AD Ceuta | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Los Barrios | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 5 | CD Rota | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 6 | Antoniano | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 15:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Conil | 18 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 19:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Cabecense | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:23 | 19 |
| 9 | Arcos CF | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:19 | 17 |
| 10 | Lebrijana | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15:25 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Roque de Lepe | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 30:18 | 45 |
| 2 | Ciudad de Lucena | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 35:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Puente Genil | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Cordoba B | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31:25 | 30 |
| 5 | CD Utrera | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 26:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Pozoblanco | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Sevilla C | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 8 | Inter Sevilla | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Castilleja CF | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 10 | Coria C.F. | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14:28 | 15 |
| 11 | La Palma CF | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 14:27 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
