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Lebrijana vs CD Gerena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lebrijana
15%
Draws
64%
CD Gerena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Gerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CD Gerena have won more games recently than Lebrijana.
  • Model gives CD Gerena a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lebrijana Clean Sheet 19%
CD Gerena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebrijana CD Gerena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.68 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs Lebrijana
0:1
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs CD Gerena
2:0
Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs CD Gerena
0:0
Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs Lebrijana
5:0
Feb 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs CD Gerena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebrijana 24 / 100
CD Gerena 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebrijana CD Gerena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Gerena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gerena let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CD Gerena has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lebrijana scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lebrijana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebrijana

(Home)
02 Sept
Cabecense
3 : 0
Lebrijana
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Castilleja CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4
Coria C.F.
23 May
La Palma CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
Page 1 of 7

CD Gerena

(Away)
14 May
Coria C.F.
4 : 1
CD Gerena
07 May
CD Gerena
0 : 1
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 1
CD Gerena
23 Apr
CD Gerena
4 : 1
Castilleja CF
08 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
3 : 1
CD Gerena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cordoba B 40 27 4 9 90:42 85
2 Sanluqueno 40 23 10 7 71:34 79
3 CD San Fernando 40 21 12 7 69:30 75
4 CD Alcala 40 21 10 9 59:33 73
5 CD Gerena 40 16 13 11 65:46 61
6 AD Ceuta 40 14 16 10 47:43 58
7 Arcos CF 40 15 13 12 44:43 58
8 Sevilla C 40 13 16 11 43:44 55
9 Castilleja CF 40 15 10 15 49:54 55
10 Los Barrios 40 16 7 17 54:56 55
11 CD Guadalcacin 40 13 15 12 42:50 54
12 Ecija 40 14 10 16 58:54 52
13 CD Utrera 40 14 10 16 70:76 52
14 San Roque de Cadiz 40 12 14 14 46:52 50
15 Lebrijana 40 13 10 17 45:59 49
16 Cabecense 40 12 13 15 49:57 49
17 Coria C.F. 40 10 18 12 38:39 48
18 CMD San Juan 40 14 6 20 42:53 48
19 Conil 40 10 9 21 41:65 39
20 Rotena 40 9 9 22 43:73 36
21 Ciudad de Lucena 40 2 7 31 19:81 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)