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Leca vs Cinfaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Reis N.
51' Event
Reis N.

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Leca
6%
Draws
90%
Cinfaes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cinfaes haven't matched Leca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cinfaes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Leca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Leca Clean Sheet 15%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca Cinfaes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Cinfaes
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Leca
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Leca
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Cinfaes
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Cinfaes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Reis N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cinfaes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 10 / 100
Cinfaes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca Cinfaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Cinfaes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Leca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS Cinfaes
2.25 Goals Scored 2.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577