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Leca vs Cinfaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Reis N.
51' Event
Reis N.

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Leca
35%
Draws
45%
Cinfaes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Cinfaes haven't matched Leca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cinfaes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Leca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Leca Clean Sheet 20%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca Cinfaes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Cinfaes
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Leca
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Leca
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Cinfaes
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Cinfaes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Reis N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

Cinfaes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 10 / 100
Cinfaes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca Cinfaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cinfaes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Leca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cinfaes let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS Cinfaes
2.13 Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

Cinfaes

(Away)
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
01 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)