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Leca vs Maritimo B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Richard
35' Event
Castro J.
68' Event
Domingos Z.

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Leca
15%
Draws
39%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leca lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo B.
  • Leca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca Maritimo B
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 26 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 2.05 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Maritimo B
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Leca
0:3
Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Maritimo B
0:3
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Leca
3:0
May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maritimo B vs Leca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard
1 Goals
Assists Leader Domingos Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 50 / 100
Maritimo B 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Maritimo B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Leca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 9

Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)