Sport Picks
Leca vs Sao Joao de Ver Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga 3 Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube, Leca da Palmeira 
Match Events
17'
17'
Morgado R.
33'
33'
Kauan D.
41'
41'
Pereira Tomas Mendes Rebelo D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Leca and Sao Joao de Ver finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of Sao Joao de Ver on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Leca's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leca | Sao Joao de Ver |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga 3
Leca vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1
May 23, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Joao de Ver vs Leca
1:1
May 2, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Leca vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leca Compare
Top Goalscorer Diego Fernandes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Sao Joao de Ver Compare
Top Goalscorer Kauan D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leca 77 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leca Sao Joao de Ver
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leca's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sao Joao de Ver has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Leca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sao Joao de Ver's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Leca VS Sao Joao de Ver
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Leca
(Home) 20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Leca
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4 Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3 AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3 AD Fafe
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0 Lusitania FC
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Leca
1 : 0 GD Braganca
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Sao Joao de Ver
(Away) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0 AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3 AD Fafe
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
