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Leca vs SC Vila Real

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Reis N.
78' Event
Fortes M.
81' Event
Fortes M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Leca and SC Vila Real finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Leca
35%
Draws
13%
SC Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Vila Real haven't matched Leca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Leca's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca SC Vila Real
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 12 12
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs SC Vila Real
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Leca
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Vila Real vs Leca
2:2
Feb 17, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leca vs SC Vila Real
2:0
May 10, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Leca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortes M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reis N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

SC Vila Real Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 86 / 100
SC Vila Real 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

SC Vila Real's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Leca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS SC Vila Real
2.25 Goals Scored 0.8
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Leca
1 : 0
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 7

SC Vila Real

(Away)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)