Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce U19 vs Atalanta U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fiogbe C.
51'
Comi P.
56'
Winkelmann T.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2023/2024 game between Lecce U19 and Atalanta U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lecce U19
35%
Draws
20%
Atalanta U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atalanta U19 come out ahead of Lecce U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lecce U19 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Atalanta U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U19 Atalanta U19
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Atalanta U19
0:1
Dec 2, 2023 Primavera 1
Atalanta U19 vs Lecce U19
3:3
May 22, 2023 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Atalanta U19
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Primavera 1
Atalanta U19 vs Lecce U19
2:4
Mar 5, 2022 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Atalanta U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Atalanta U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiogbe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U19 84 / 100
Atalanta U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U19 Atalanta U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecce U19's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Lecce U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atalanta U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U19 VS Atalanta U19
2.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U19

(Home)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

Atalanta U19

(Away)
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
26 Nov
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
3 : 2
Atalanta U19
05 Nov
Marseille U19
0 : 0
Atalanta U19
22 Oct
Atalanta U19
2 : 0
Slavia Prague U19
30 Sept
Atalanta U19
0 : 2
Club Brugge U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)