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Lecce U20 vs Cesena U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lecce U20 host Cesena U20 in the Primavera 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lecce U20 at 1.5 goals for, 1.37 against; Cesena U20 at 1.5 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Cesena U20 slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Cesena U20 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Lecce U20
35%
Draws
30%
Cesena U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cesena U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Lecce U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Cesena U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U20 Cesena U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Cesena U20
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Lecce U20
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Cesena U20
3:2
Nov 10, 2024 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Lecce U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U20 39 / 100
Cesena U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U20 Cesena U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lecce U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Lecce U20's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cesena U20 conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U20 VS Cesena U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U20

(Home)
11 Oct
Verona U20
0 : 2
Lecce U20
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Torino U20
3 : 3
Lecce U20
Page 1 of 6

Cesena U20

(Away)
10 Oct
Cesena U20
2 : 1
Torino U20
18 Sept
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 0
Cesena U20
12 Sept
Cesena U20
0 : 1
Lazio U20
06 Sept
Empoli U20
3 : 3
Cesena U20
30 Aug
Cesena U20
1 : 1
AC Milan U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U20 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
2 Parma U20 6 3 3 0 12:6 12
3 AS Roma U20 6 3 3 0 10:6 12
4 Bologna U20 6 4 0 2 16:13 12
5 Empoli U20 6 3 3 0 10:7 12
6 Genoa U20 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
7 Lazio U20 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
8 Cesena U20 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
9 Cagliari U20 6 2 2 2 9:13 8
10 Lecce U20 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
11 Verona U20 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
12 Sassuolo U20 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
13 AC Milan U20 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
14 Como U20 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Atalanta U20 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
16 Torino U20 6 1 2 3 13:15 5
17 Monza U20 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
18 Fiorentina U20 6 0 4 2 6:8 4
19 Albinoleffe U20 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
20 Juventus U20 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2027/2028 (Main)