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Lecce U20 vs Crotone U20

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Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Lecce U20 Logo

Lecce U20

3 - 2
FT
Crotone U20 Logo

Crotone U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 game between Lecce U20 and Crotone U20 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lecce U20
20%
Draws
29%
Crotone U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lecce U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecce U20 come out ahead of Crotone U20 on wins alone.
  • Lecce U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U20 Crotone U20
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.7 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Crotone U20 vs Lecce U20
4:2
Nov 26, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Lecce U20 vs Crotone U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U20 85 / 100
Crotone U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U20 Crotone U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone U20 let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Lecce U20's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Lecce U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U20 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U20

(Home)
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0
Fiorentina U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0
Lecce U20
26 Apr
Lecce U20
3 : 2
Verona U20
19 Apr
Inter U20
1 : 0
Lecce U20
Page 1 of 7

Crotone U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Catania U20
5 : 1
Crotone U20
13 Apr
Crotone U20
0 : 3
Pescara U20
06 Apr
Palermo U20
5 : 0
Crotone U20
03 Apr
Crotone U20
2 : 0
Juve Stabia U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)