Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Malen D.
9'
Malen D.
23' Event
Malen D.
Assist: Wesley Franca

AI Match Summary

AS Roma in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lecce
20%
Draws
46%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma have won more games recently than Lecce.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma taking it.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AS Roma have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lecce Clean Sheet 10%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce AS Roma
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.11 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Serie A
Lecce vs AS Roma
0:4
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A
AS Roma vs Lecce
1:0
Jan 6, 2026 Serie A
Lecce vs AS Roma
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 Serie A
Lecce vs AS Roma
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Serie A
AS Roma vs Lecce
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Malen D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soule M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 14 / 100
AS Roma 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Lecce's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lecce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS AS Roma
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
25 Oct
Lecce
0 : 2
Juventus
18 Oct
Udinese
0 : 3
Lecce
11 Oct
Lecce
1 : 2
Bologna
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3
AS Roma
20 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 0
Slovan Bratislava
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 8 7 1 0 23:10 22
2 Lazio 8 7 1 0 16:5 22
3 AS Roma 8 5 3 0 19:6 18
4 AC Milan 8 5 3 0 16:7 18
5 Como 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
6 Frosinone 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
7 Juventus 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
8 Torino 8 4 1 3 13:11 13
9 Cagliari 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
10 Napoli 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
11 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Lecce 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
13 Bologna 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Sassuolo 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
15 Monza 8 2 1 5 15:18 7
16 Genoa 8 2 1 5 6:13 7
17 Udinese 8 1 1 6 9:18 4
18 Fiorentina 8 1 1 6 9:19 4
19 Parma 8 1 1 6 5:15 4
20 Venezia 8 1 0 7 6:17 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)