Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce vs Istra 1961

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Jaganjac H.
46'
Sub
Onyemachi D. In: Laerke H.
Out: Onyemachi D.
51' Event
Stulic N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lecce and Istra 1961 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lecce
35%
Draws
24%
Istra 1961
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istra 1961 come out ahead of Lecce on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lecce a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lecce Clean Sheet 68%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce Istra 1961
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Istra 1961
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Maleh Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Istra 1961 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaganjac H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmeti D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 50 / 100
Istra 1961 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce Istra 1961

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Istra 1961 conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lecce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lecce scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS Istra 1961
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0
Monopoli
29 Jul
Lecce
5 : 2
Bistrica
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2
Istra 1961
22 Jul
Lecce
0 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
19 Jul
Haladas
0 : 1
Lecce
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Istra 1961

(Away)
09 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2
Istra 1961
01 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 3
Lok. Zagreb
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2
Istra 1961
21 Jul
Istra 1961
5 : 2
Orijent
18 Jul
Udinese
2 : 2
Istra 1961
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