Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce vs Istra 1961

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Jaganjac H.
46'
Sub
Onyemachi D. In: Laerke H.
Out: Onyemachi D.
51' Event
Stulic N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lecce and Istra 1961 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lecce
20%
Draws
46%
Istra 1961
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istra 1961

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecce come out ahead of Istra 1961 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Istra 1961 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Lecce Clean Sheet 10%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce Istra 1961
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Istra 1961
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Maleh Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Istra 1961 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaganjac H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmeti D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 10 / 100
Istra 1961 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce Istra 1961

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istra 1961 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Istra 1961 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lecce scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Lecce went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS Istra 1961
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
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Istra 1961

(Away)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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