Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce vs Monopoli

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Geubbels W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lecce and Monopoli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lecce
15%
Draws
42%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lecce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Monopoli have managed 0.82 goals a game lately — Lecce are scoring more at 1.
  • Model gives Monopoli a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lecce Clean Sheet 20%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce Monopoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Monopoli
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Monopoli vs Lecce
2:2
Aug 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Monopoli
0:0
Sep 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Monopoli
2:2
May 6, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Lecce
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Geubbels W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Monopoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 28 / 100
Monopoli 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monopoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monopoli conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Monopoli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lecce's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS Monopoli
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
17 Aug
Palermo
2 : 0
Lecce
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Monopoli

(Away)
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1
Monopoli
29 Aug
Monopoli
2 : 0
Catania
24 Aug
Altamura
1 : 0
Monopoli
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