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Lecco vs Alcione Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lecco host Alcione Milano in the Serie C - Group A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Alcione Milano have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Lecco have conceded 1.33 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Lecco slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Lecco. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Lecco
35%
Draws
30%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lecco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lecco's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lecco have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lecco Clean Sheet 20%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Alcione Milano
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Lecco
0:2
Dec 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Mar 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Lecco
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Alcione Milano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 49 / 100
Alcione Milano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alcione Milano conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Lecco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lecco scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Alcione Milano
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

Alcione Milano

(Away)
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 7 7 0 0 13:2 21
2 Union Brescia 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
3 Ospitaletto 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Arzignano 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
5 Trento 7 3 4 0 9:3 13
6 Treviso 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
7 Alcione Milano 7 2 4 1 10:11 10
8 Dolomiti Bellunesi 7 2 4 1 6:5 10
9 AlbinoLeffe 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
10 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Lecco 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
12 Desenzano Calvina 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Pergolettese 7 1 4 2 1:3 7
14 Carpi 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
15 Folgore Caratese 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
16 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
17 Novara 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pro Vercelli 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
19 Giana Erminio 7 0 3 4 6:10 3
20 Renate 7 0 2 5 5:11 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)