Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Battistini M.
23'
23'
Kritta M.
46'
46'
Sub
Tanco G. J. In: Marrone L.
Out: Tanco G. J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lecco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Catania come out ahead of Lecco on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Lecco taking it.
- Catania arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lecco, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lecco Clean Sheet 20%
Catania Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecco | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Lecco
3:3
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Catania
0:0
Mar 25, 1962 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
3:1
Nov 27, 1961 Serie A
Catania vs Lecco
1:0
Feb 12, 1961 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecco 42 / 100
Catania 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecco Catania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lecco's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Lecco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Catania conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Lecco VS Catania
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecco
(Home) 02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0 Lecco
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1 Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1 Pianese
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1 Giana Erminio
19 Apr
Lecco
2 : 2 Lumezzane
03 Apr
Lecco
2 : 0 Vicenza
Page 1 of 3
Catania
(Away) 27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
28 Mar
Latina
0 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
