Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecco vs Catania

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Battistini M.
23'
Kritta M.
46'
Sub
Tanco G. J. In: Marrone L.
Out: Tanco G. J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lecco
20%
Draws
40%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catania come out ahead of Lecco on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lecco taking it.
  • Catania arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lecco, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lecco Clean Sheet 17%
Catania Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Catania
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Lecco
3:3
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Catania
0:0
Mar 25, 1962 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
3:1
Nov 27, 1961 Serie A
Catania vs Lecco
1:0
Feb 12, 1961 Serie A
Lecco vs Catania
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 36 / 100
Catania 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lecco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lecco found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Catania
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

Catania

(Away)
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4