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Lecco vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lecco host Folgore Caratese in the Serie C - Group A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Folgore Caratese have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Lecco have conceded 1.3 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Lecco have won 4 to Folgore Caratese's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2019, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Lecco. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Lecco
35%
Draws
30%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Folgore Caratese come out ahead of Lecco on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lecco's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lecco have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lecco Clean Sheet 20%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecco Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Lecco
1:2
Oct 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese
1:0
Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Lecco
0:0
Nov 29, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese
2:0
Jan 18, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecco 42 / 100
Folgore Caratese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecco Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Lecco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lecco scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lecco VS Folgore Caratese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecco

(Home)
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
11 Oct
Trento
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)