Sport Picks
Lecco vs Giana Erminio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco 
Match Events
17'
17'
Arena M.
Assist: Urso O.
32'
32'
Sinn L.
46'
46'
Sub
Rizzo M. In: Litti M.
Out: Rizzo M.
AI Match Summary
Lecco in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Lecco average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Giana Erminio's 0.97.
- Model gives Lecco a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Lecco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lecco Clean Sheet 20%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecco | Giana Erminio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Giana Erminio
1:0
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Giana Erminio
2:1
Feb 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Lecco
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Giana Erminio
0:0
Mar 31, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Giana Erminio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lecco Compare
Top Goalscorer Arena M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Giana Erminio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecco 42 / 100
Giana Erminio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecco Giana Erminio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giana Erminio has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Lecco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Lecco scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Lecco VS Giana Erminio
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecco
(Home) 04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 3
Giana Erminio
(Away) 04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0 Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2 Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0 Giana Erminio
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
